Padres at Braves
SD9–
ATL1Last play · Marcell Ozuna grounds into a double play, third baseman Donovan Solano to second baseman Luis Arraez to first baseman Jake Cronenworth. Ozzie Albies out at 2nd. Marcell Ozuna out at 1st.
Win probability
Braves0%
SD 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 8 – 0 ATL
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Braves favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Cronenworth homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Jurickson Profar scores. (inning 1) — -22% Padres
9Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to left fielder José Azocar. Chadwick Tromp scores.9–1
7Ha-Seong Kim homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.9–0
5Luis Campusano homers (4) on a line drive to left field.8–0
4Xander Bogaerts out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarred Kelenic. Jurickson Profar scores.7–0
4Jurickson Profar doubles (9) on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.6–0
4Padres challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Fernando Tatis Jr. doubles (7) on a fly ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Luis Arraez scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 3rd.5–0
1Jackson Merrill singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Manny Machado scores. Xander Bogaerts to 2nd.3–0
1Jake Cronenworth homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Jurickson Profar scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.