Padres at Braves
Last play · Jarred Kelenic flies out to left fielder José Azocar.
Win probability
Braves0%
SD 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 5 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Braves favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Manny Machado doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarred Kelenic. Jurickson Profar scores. Jake Cronenworth scores. (inning 8) — -52% Padres
8Manny Machado doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarred Kelenic. Jurickson Profar scores. Jake Cronenworth scores.6–5
8Jake Cronenworth singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jurickson Profar to 2nd.4–5
7Jackson Merrill singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Jurickson Profar scores. Jake Cronenworth to 2nd.2–5
5Jackson Merrill grounds out, second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson. Manny Machado scores.1–5
3Ronald Acuña Jr. singles on a ground ball to second baseman Xander Bogaerts. Orlando Arcia scores. Zack Short to 3rd. Jarred Kelenic to 2nd.0–5
3Matt Olson homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.0–4
3Marcell Ozuna homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.0–3
1Michael Harris II singles on a soft line drive to shortstop Ha-Seong Kim. Ozzie Albies scores. Matt Olson to 2nd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
