Nationals at Braves
Last play · Orlando Arcia flies out to center fielder Jacob Young.
Win probability
Braves0%
WSH 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 3 – 1 ATL
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -145
Braves favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lane Thomas homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Joey Gallo scores. Jacob Young scores. (inning 5) — -43% Nationals
9Keibert Ruiz singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Lane Thomas scores. Jesse Winker scores.7–2
6Travis d'Arnaud grounds out, second baseman Luis García Jr. to first baseman Joey Gallo. Austin Riley scores. Matt Olson to 3rd.5–2
6Jacob Young singles on a line drive to right fielder Adam Duvall. Eddie Rosario scores. Ildemaro Vargas scores.5–1
5Lane Thomas homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Joey Gallo scores. Jacob Young scores.3–1
3Marcell Ozuna singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Ozzie Albies scores. Austin Riley to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
