Nationals at Braves
Last play · Eddie Rosario strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves100%
WSH 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 0 ATL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+220 / -270
Braves favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcell Ozuna homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 7) — +30% Braves
7Jarred Kelenic out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jesse Winker. Matt Olson scores.0–2
7Marcell Ozuna homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
