Nationals at Braves
Last play · Adam Duvall strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves0%
WSH 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 3 – 1 ATL
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Braves favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Meneses doubles (6) on a ground ball to right fielder Adam Duvall. Jacob Young scores. Lane Thomas scores. (inning 3) — -26% Nationals
3Michael Harris II out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Jarred Kelenic scores.3–1
3Jesse Winker doubles (10) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Jarred Kelenic. Joey Meneses scores.3–0
3Joey Meneses doubles (6) on a ground ball to right fielder Adam Duvall. Jacob Young scores. Lane Thomas scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
