Rays at Braves
Last play · Yandy Díaz grounds out, shortstop Orlando Arcia to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Braves100%
TB 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 7 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+185 / -225
Braves favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcell Ozuna homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field. J.P. Martínez scores. Ozzie Albies scores. (inning 1) — +31% Braves
9Richie Palacios singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adam Duvall, deflected by second baseman Ozzie Albies. Jose Siri scores.3–7
7Richie Palacios doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Jarred Kelenic. Jose Siri scores.2–7
2Austin Riley homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Marcell Ozuna scores.1–7
1Adam Duvall reaches on a throwing error by pitcher Zack Littell. Austin Riley scores.1–5
1Austin Riley doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Matt Olson scores.1–4
1Marcell Ozuna homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field. J.P. Martínez scores. Ozzie Albies scores.1–3
1Amed Rosario doubles (11) on a ground ball to right fielder Adam Duvall. Yandy Díaz scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














