Rays at Braves
Last play · Ozzie Albies strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves0%
TB 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 6 – 2 ATL
Rays led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Braves favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Riley homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Matt Olson scores. (inning 8) — +45% Braves
9Jose Siri homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Randy Arozarena scores.8–6
8Austin Riley homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Matt Olson scores.6–6
6Travis d'Arnaud singles on a ground ball to third baseman Richie Palacios. Austin Riley scores. Adam Duvall to 3rd. Travis d'Arnaud to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Richie Palacios.6–4
6Adam Duvall singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Matt Olson scores. Austin Riley to 2nd.6–3
4Ben Rortvedt hits a grand slam (1) to right field. Randy Arozarena scores. Richie Palacios scores. Jose Siri scores.6–2
3Brandon Lowe homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
2Travis d'Arnaud homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
1Jarred Kelenic homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














