Tigers at Braves
Last play · Carson Kelly flies out to second baseman Ozzie Albies.
Win probability
Braves100%
DET 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 2 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -170
Braves favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gio Urshela singles on a ground ball to left fielder Forrest Wall. Riley Greene scores. (inning 6) — -14% Tigers
6Gio Urshela singles on a ground ball to left fielder Forrest Wall. Riley Greene scores.1–2
1Marcell Ozuna singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Ozzie Albies scores.0–2
1Ozzie Albies triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Jarred Kelenic scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














