Pirates at Braves
Last play · Jared Triolo strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves100%
PIT 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 6 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -210
Braves favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcell Ozuna doubles (17) on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Luke Williams scores. Jarred Kelenic scores. Ozzie Albies scores. (inning 3) — +22% Braves
9Ke'Bryan Hayes doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jarred Kelenic. Connor Joe scores.1–6
3Adam Duvall doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Austin Riley scores.0–6
3Matt Olson singles on a line drive to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Marcell Ozuna scores.0–5
3Marcell Ozuna doubles (17) on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Luke Williams scores. Jarred Kelenic scores. Ozzie Albies scores.0–4
2Austin Riley homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














