Pirates at Braves
Last play · Adam Duvall singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Luke Williams scores.
Win probability
Braves100%
PIT 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 1 ATL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Braves favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Edward Olivares out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Adam Duvall. Michael A. Taylor scores. (inning 5) — -15% Pirates
10Adam Duvall singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Luke Williams scores.1–2
5Edward Olivares out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Adam Duvall. Michael A. Taylor scores.1–1
1Jarred Kelenic homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














