Giants at Braves
Last play · Adam Duvall strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves0%
SF 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 3 – 2 ATL
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Braves favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Heliot Ramos homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. LaMonte Wade Jr. scores. (inning 4) — -25% Giants
6Matt Chapman doubles (23) on a ground ball to right fielder Adam Duvall. Patrick Bailey scores.4–2
4Matt Chapman homers (12) on a line drive to center field.3–2
4Heliot Ramos homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. LaMonte Wade Jr. scores.2–2
1Austin Riley out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Michael Conforto. Ozzie Albies scores.0–2
1Ozzie Albies doubles (24) on a fly ball to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Jarred Kelenic scores. Throwing error by right fielder Mike Yastrzemski.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














