Pirates at Braves
Last play · Zack Short grounds out, third baseman Jared Triolo to first baseman Rowdy Tellez.
Win probability
Braves0%
PIT 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 4 – 1 ATL
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -210
Braves favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Oneil Cruz homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. Jack Suwinski scores. (inning 5) — -31% Pirates
9Orlando Arcia out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Adam Duvall scores.4–2
5Rowdy Tellez homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Edward Olivares scores.4–1
5Oneil Cruz homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. Jack Suwinski scores.2–1
4Austin Riley grounds into a double play, third baseman Jared Triolo to second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Rowdy Tellez. Marcell Ozuna scores. Matt Olson out at 2nd. Austin Riley out at 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














