Phillies at Braves
Last play · Johan Rojas grounds out, pitcher Aaron Bummer to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Braves100%
PHI 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 5 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -155
Braves favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jarred Kelenic homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Orlando Arcia scores. Eli White scores. (inning 2) — +21% Braves
6Eli White homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.0–6
2Matt Olson homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.0–5
2Jarred Kelenic homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Orlando Arcia scores. Eli White scores.0–4
2Adam Duvall homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














