Cardinals at Braves
Last play · Sean Murphy pops out to second baseman Nolan Gorman.
Win probability
Braves0%
STL 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 6 – 2 ATL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Braves favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Gorman homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field. Nolan Arenado scores. (inning 2) — -25% Cardinals
9Brendan Donovan singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adam Duvall. Alec Burleson scores. Willson Contreras scores.9–5
9Alec Burleson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adam Duvall. Michael Siani scores.7–5
6Eddie Rosario homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.6–5
6Marcell Ozuna homers (28) on a fly ball to left center field.6–4
6Austin Riley homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.6–3
5Brendan Donovan homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.6–2
4Marcell Ozuna homers (27) on a fly ball to left field.5–2
2Willson Contreras singles on a ground ball to left fielder Eddie Rosario. Masyn Winn scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd.5–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














