Cardinals at Braves
Last play · Ramón Laureano strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves0%
STL 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 4 – 2 ATL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Braves favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Paul Goldschmidt homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 2) — -15% Cardinals
9Masyn Winn walks.6–2
8Willson Contreras homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.5–2
5Orlando Arcia singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Ramón Laureano scores.4–2
5Alec Burleson singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ramón Laureano. Michael Siani scores.4–1
4Lars Nootbaar homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.3–1
3Jarred Kelenic homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
3Alec Burleson homers (18) on a fly ball to right field.2–0
2Paul Goldschmidt homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














