Marlins at Braves
Last play · Vidal Bruján called out on strikes.
Win probability
Braves100%
MIA 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 3 – 1 ATL
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+185 / -225
Braves favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Soler singles on a ground ball to right fielder David Hensley. Jarred Kelenic scores. (inning 8) — +32% Braves
8Orlando Arcia singles on a line drive to center fielder Nick Gordon. Austin Riley scores. Matt Olson to 3rd.3–5
8Marcell Ozuna out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Ramón Laureano scores.3–4
8Jorge Soler singles on a ground ball to right fielder David Hensley. Jarred Kelenic scores.3–3
6Austin Riley grounds out, second baseman Otto Lopez to first baseman Jonah Bride. Whit Merrifield scores.3–2
5Orlando Arcia homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.3–1
3Jake Burger homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.3–0
1Jonah Bride homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Xavier Edwards scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
