Brewers at Braves
Last play · Austin Riley called out on strikes.
Win probability
Braves0%
MIL 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 3 – 4 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Braves favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Riley homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field. Whit Merrifield scores. (inning 5) — +30% Braves
9Jarred Kelenic homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.8–5
8Andruw Monasterio singles on a line drive to left fielder Adam Duvall. Joey Ortiz scores.8–4
8Joey Ortiz doubles (16) on a ground ball to left fielder Adam Duvall. Willy Adames scores.7–4
6Blake Perkins singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jarred Kelenic. William Contreras scores. Willy Adames scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd. Blake Perkins to 2nd.6–4
6Gary Sánchez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Adam Duvall. Jackson Chourio scores. Rhys Hoskins to 2nd.4–4
5Austin Riley homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field. Whit Merrifield scores.3–4
5Blake Perkins singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jorge Soler. Gary Sánchez scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd.3–2
5Joey Ortiz singles on a line drive to left fielder Adam Duvall. Rhys Hoskins scores. Gary Sánchez to 2nd.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
