Phillies at Braves
Last play · Whit Merrifield grounds out to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Win probability
Braves0%
PHI 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 2 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 39.8% · hold 6.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Braves favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Marsh out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarred Kelenic. Weston Wilson scores. (inning 8) — -26% Phillies
8Brandon Marsh out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarred Kelenic. Weston Wilson scores.3–2
6Trea Turner out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarred Kelenic. Johan Rojas scores.2–2
6Kyle Schwarber grounds out, shortstop Orlando Arcia to first baseman Matt Olson. Edmundo Sosa scores. Johan Rojas to 3rd.1–2
4Orlando Arcia homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Jarred Kelenic scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
