Phillies at Braves
Last play · Bryson Stott lines out to right fielder Ramón Laureano.
Win probability
Braves100%
PHI 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 1 ATL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-160 / +135
Braves favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcell Ozuna homers (37) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 6) — +26% Braves
8Gio Urshela walks. Matt Olson scores. Adam Duvall to 3rd. Orlando Arcia to 2nd.1–3
6Marcell Ozuna homers (37) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
4J.T. Realmuto singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Alec Bohm scores. Nick Castellanos to 2nd.1–1
3Michael Harris II singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Whit Merrifield scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
