Phillies at Braves
Last play · Bryson Stott strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves100%
PHI 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 2 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Braves favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adam Duvall homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 6) — +21% Braves
7J.T. Realmuto doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ramón Laureano. Bryson Stott scores.2–3
6Adam Duvall homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
3Matt Olson doubles (25) on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Whit Merrifield scores.1–2
2Gio Urshela hits a ground-rule double (11) on a line drive down the left-field line. Ramón Laureano scores. Adam Duvall to 3rd.1–1
1Nick Castellanos grounds into a force out, third baseman Gio Urshela to second baseman Whit Merrifield. Trea Turner scores. Bryce Harper out at 2nd. Nick Castellanos to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
