Nationals at Braves
Last play · Orlando Arcia called out on strikes.
Win probability
Braves0%
WSH 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 1 – 0 ATL
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -200
Braves favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jacob Young doubles (20) on a line drive to left fielder Ramón Laureano. Drew Millas scores. (inning 7) — -31% Nationals
9CJ Abrams singles on a fly ball to second baseman Whit Merrifield. Jacob Young scores. CJ Abrams to 2nd.5–1
7CJ Abrams singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jorge Soler, deflected by second baseman Whit Merrifield. Jacob Young scores.4–1
7Jacob Young doubles (20) on a line drive to left fielder Ramón Laureano. Drew Millas scores.3–1
6Matt Olson homers (22) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
1Andrés Chaparro grounds into a double play, pitcher Reynaldo López to second baseman Whit Merrifield to first baseman Matt Olson to shortstop Orlando Arcia to first baseman Matt Olson. James Wood scores. Luis García Jr. out at 2nd. Andrés Chaparro out at 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
