Nationals at Braves
Last play · CJ Abrams flies out to left fielder Adam Duvall.
Win probability
Braves100%
WSH 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 1 ATL
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Braves favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · José Tena homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Keibert Ruiz scores. (inning 2) — -25% Nationals
8Ramón Laureano homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.2–4
6Travis d'Arnaud singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Matt Olson scores.2–3
6Matt Olson doubles (26) on a fly ball to right fielder Joey Gallo. Whit Merrifield scores.2–2
5Orlando Arcia homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
2José Tena homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Keibert Ruiz scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
