Yankees at Orioles
Last play · Jordan Westburg grounds out, third baseman Oswaldo Cabrera to first baseman Anthony Rizzo.
Win probability
Orioles0%
NYY 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 0 BAL
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -150
Orioles favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Oswaldo Cabrera homers (4) on a line drive to right field. Jose Trevino scores. (inning 5) — -27% Yankees
5Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Oswaldo Cabrera homers (4) on a line drive to right field. Jose Trevino scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








