D-backs at Orioles
Last play · Jordan Westburg singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake McCarthy. Colton Cowser scores.
Win probability
Orioles100%
AZ 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 4 – 3 BAL
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Orioles favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Santander homers (7) on a line drive to center field. (inning 8) — +32% Orioles
11Jordan Westburg singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake McCarthy. Colton Cowser scores.4–5
8Anthony Santander homers (7) on a line drive to center field.4–4
5Gunnar Henderson homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field.4–3
5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Heston Kjerstad. Kevin Newman scores. Ketel Marte to 2nd.4–2
5Corbin Carroll out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Heston Kjerstad. Blaze Alexander scores.3–2
3Ryan O'Hearn singles on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Jorge Mateo scores.2–2
3Ketel Marte homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Kevin Newman scores.2–1
2Jordan Westburg doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Ryan Mountcastle scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








