Blue Jays at Orioles
Last play · Connor Norby strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles0%
TOR 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 6 – 3 BAL
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Orioles favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jordan Westburg homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. Ryan O'Hearn scores. (inning 2) — +26% Orioles
9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (25) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. George Springer scores.8–4
8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (21) on a line drive to center field.7–4
7Colton Cowser singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Steward Berroa. Jordan Westburg scores. Ramón Urías to 2nd.6–4
5George Springer singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Leo Jiménez scores. Kevin Kiermaier to 3rd. Steward Berroa to 2nd.6–3
4Davis Schneider out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Colton Cowser. George Springer scores.5–3
4Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (24) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Heston Kjerstad. Steward Berroa scores. George Springer to 3rd.4–3
2Jordan Westburg homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. Ryan O'Hearn scores.3–3
2Spencer Horwitz grounds out, second baseman Connor Norby to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Steward Berroa scores. George Springer to 2nd.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














