Mariners at Orioles
Last play · Adley Rutschman strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Orioles0%
SEA 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 0 – 2 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Orioles favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cal Raleigh doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Hays, deflected by center fielder Cedric Mullins. Julio Rodríguez scores. (inning 8) — -26% Mariners
9Gunnar Henderson homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field.4–3
8Dylan Moore doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Austin Hays. Cal Raleigh scores.4–2
8Cal Raleigh doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Hays, deflected by center fielder Cedric Mullins. Julio Rodríguez scores.3–2
7Ty France doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Colton Cowser. Dylan Moore scores.2–2
7Mitch Haniger grounds out, third baseman Jordan Westburg to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Luke Raley scores.1–2
3Ryan O'Hearn singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jorge Mateo scores. Gunnar Henderson to 2nd.0–2
2Austin Hays out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jordan Westburg scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
