Red Sox at Orioles
Last play · Romy Gonzalez grounds out, third baseman Ramón Urías to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle.
Win probability
Orioles100%
BOS 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 7 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -155
Orioles favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Stowers doubles (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Colton Cowser scores. Jordan Westburg to 3rd. (inning 4) — +13% Orioles
8Romy Gonzalez triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Stowers. Connor Wong scores. David Hamilton scores. Garrett Cooper scores.3–11
7Kyle Stowers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Ryan Mountcastle scores.0–11
7Ryan Mountcastle singles on a ground ball to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Adley Rutschman scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 2nd.0–9
7Adley Rutschman doubles (8) on a fly ball to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Gunnar Henderson scores.0–8
4Jorge Mateo out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Cedric Mullins scores.0–7
4Cedric Mullins triples (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Jordan Westburg scores. Kyle Stowers scores.0–6
4Kyle Stowers doubles (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Colton Cowser scores. Jordan Westburg to 3rd.0–4
3Adley Rutschman out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Jorge Mateo scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
