Red Sox at Orioles
Last play · Colton Cowser strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles0%
BOS 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 4 – 3 BAL
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -175
Orioles favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jordan Westburg singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Colton Cowser scores. Anthony Santander to 3rd. (inning 1) — +22% Orioles
9Rob Refsnyder homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.8–3
9Romy Gonzalez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Colton Cowser. David Hamilton scores. Ceddanne Rafaela to 3rd.6–3
8Connor Wong singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Anthony Santander. Rafael Devers scores.5–3
2Rafael Devers singles on a fly ball to shortstop Gunnar Henderson. Jarren Duran scores. Rob Refsnyder to 3rd.4–3
2Jarren Duran doubles (16) on a fly ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.3–3
1Jordan Westburg singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Colton Cowser scores. Anthony Santander to 3rd.2–3
1Colton Cowser singles on a ground ball to second baseman Vaughn Grissom. Gunnar Henderson scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 2nd.2–1
1Rafael Devers singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Rob Refsnyder scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
