Rays at Orioles
Last play · José Caballero called out on strikes.
Win probability
Orioles100%
TB 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 0 BAL
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -150
Orioles favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Mateo doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jonny DeLuca. Colton Cowser scores. Austin Hays scores. (inning 6) — +31% Orioles
6Jorge Mateo doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jonny DeLuca. Colton Cowser scores. Austin Hays scores.1–3
6Austin Hays singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jonny DeLuca. Anthony Santander scores. Colton Cowser to 3rd.1–1
2Ben Rortvedt singles on a line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Richie Palacios scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
