Red Sox at Orioles
Last play · Ceddanne Rafaela grounds into a force out, third baseman Ramón Urías to second baseman Jorge Mateo. David Hamilton out at 2nd.
Win probability
Orioles100%
BOS 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 5 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Orioles favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gunnar Henderson hits a grand slam (18) to right center field. Anthony Santander scores. Ramón Urías scores. James McCann scores. (inning 2) — +31% Orioles
7Ramón Urías homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.1–6
2Gunnar Henderson hits a grand slam (18) to right center field. Anthony Santander scores. Ramón Urías scores. James McCann scores.1–5
2Ramón Urías singles on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Colton Cowser scores. Anthony Santander to 3rd.1–1
2Dominic Smith reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Jorge Mateo. Connor Wong scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
