Rays at Orioles
Last play · Colton Cowser grounds out, pitcher Pete Fairbanks to first baseman Yandy Díaz.
Win probability
Orioles0%
TB 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 3 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Orioles favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Siri doubles (6) on a fly ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Richie Palacios scores. Amed Rosario scores. (inning 8) — -52% Rays
8Jose Siri doubles (6) on a fly ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Richie Palacios scores. Amed Rosario scores.4–3
7José Caballero homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.2–3
5Orioles challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Yandy Díaz out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Anthony Santander. José Caballero scores. Alex Jackson to 2nd.1–3
4Adley Rutschman singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. James McCann scores. Gunnar Henderson to 3rd.0–3
3Anthony Santander singles on a line drive to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Gunnar Henderson scores.0–2
1Gunnar Henderson homers (19) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
