Rays at Orioles
Last play · Jonny DeLuca strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles100%
TB 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 5 – 9 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Orioles favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yandy Díaz triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Anthony Santander. Ben Rortvedt scores. José Caballero scores. (inning 2) — -21% Rays
4Ryan Mountcastle homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Ryan O'Hearn scores.5–9
3Jorge Mateo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jose Siri. Jordan Westburg scores.5–7
3Kyle Stowers doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Richie Palacios. Anthony Santander scores. Jordan Westburg to 3rd.5–6
3Jordan Westburg singles on a ground ball to second baseman Brandon Lowe, deflected by shortstop José Caballero. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Anthony Santander to 3rd.5–5
3Yandy Díaz walks. Jose Siri scores. Ben Rortvedt to 3rd. José Caballero to 2nd.5–4
3Jose Siri singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Anthony Santander. Jonathan Aranda scores.4–4
2Jordan Westburg homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.3–4
2Yandy Díaz triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Anthony Santander. Ben Rortvedt scores. José Caballero scores.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
