Braves at Orioles
Last play · Orlando Arcia lines out to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
Win probability
Orioles100%
ATL 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 2 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Orioles favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Olson homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Ozzie Albies scores. (inning 8) — -34% Braves
8Colton Cowser homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Ryan Mountcastle scores.2–4
8Matt Olson homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Ozzie Albies scores.2–2
3Adley Rutschman reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Matt Olson. Jorge Mateo scores. Adley Rutschman to 2nd. Adley Rutschman advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by first baseman Matt Olson.0–2
3Gunnar Henderson grounds out to first baseman Matt Olson. Cedric Mullins scores. Jorge Mateo to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














