Phillies at Orioles
Last play · Kyle Stowers strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles0%
PHI 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 1 BAL
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Orioles favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Bohm doubles (24) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Hays. Whit Merrifield scores. Bryce Harper scores. (inning 11) — -44% Phillies
11Alec Bohm doubles (24) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Hays. Whit Merrifield scores. Bryce Harper scores.5–3
10Anthony Santander flies out to center fielder Johan Rojas.3–3
10Phillies challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Kyle Schwarber singles on a line drive to right fielder Anthony Santander. Edmundo Sosa scores. Johan Rojas out at home on the throw, right fielder Anthony Santander to catcher James McCann. Cristian Pache to 2nd.3–2
8Anthony Santander homers (15) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
5Rafael Marchán homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.2–1
3Adley Rutschman doubles (9) on a ground ball to left fielder David Dahl. Cedric Mullins scores.1–1
1Kyle Schwarber homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














