Phillies at Orioles
Last play · Garrett Stubbs called out on strikes.
Win probability
Orioles100%
PHI 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 2 BAL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -195
Orioles favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Santander homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 4) — +20% Orioles
8Gunnar Henderson singles on a line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Austin Hays scores. Ramón Urías to 2nd.2–6
8Anthony Santander homers (17) on a fly ball to right field. Jorge Mateo scores.2–5
6Anthony Santander out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Johan Rojas. Ryan Mountcastle scores.2–3
4Anthony Santander homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
3Adley Rutschman out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Ramón Urías scores. Throwing error by right fielder Nick Castellanos.2–1
2Edmundo Sosa homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.2–0
1Alec Bohm doubles (25) on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Bryce Harper scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














