Phillies at Orioles
Last play · Edmundo Sosa strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles100%
PHI 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 8 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -140
Orioles favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colton Cowser homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Jordan Westburg scores. (inning 2) — +16% Orioles
7Alec Bohm doubles (26) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Bryce Harper scores.3–8
5Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Jordan Westburg homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Anthony Santander scores.2–8
5Anthony Santander singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 2nd.2–5
5Alec Bohm singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper to 3rd.2–4
5Nick Castellanos grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle. Garrett Stubbs scores. Kyle Schwarber to 3rd.1–4
3Adley Rutschman homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.0–4
2Colton Cowser homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Jordan Westburg scores.0–3
1Gunnar Henderson homers (22) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














