Guardians at Orioles
Last play · Ryan Mountcastle strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles0%
CLE 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 2 BAL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Orioles favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · José Ramírez homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 6) — -22% Guardians
6José Ramírez homers (20) on a fly ball to center field.3–2
3Anthony Santander out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daniel Schneemann. Adley Rutschman scores.2–2
2Bo Naylor doubles (7) on a ground ball to right fielder Anthony Santander. Gabriel Arias scores.2–1
1Ryan O'Hearn singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Daniel Schneemann. Gunnar Henderson scores.1–1
1José Ramírez singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Steven Kwan scores. Andrés Giménez to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














