Cubs at Orioles
Last play · Gunnar Henderson grounds into a double play, second baseman Nico Hoerner to shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch. Heston Kjerstad out at 2nd. Gunnar Henderson out at 1st.
Win probability
Orioles0%
CHC 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 3 – 0 BAL
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -170
Orioles favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christopher Morel homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 2) — -15% Cubs
9Michael Busch singles on a pop up to left fielder Austin Hays. Nico Hoerner scores.4–0
5Seiya Suzuki singles on a ground ball to left fielder Austin Hays. Michael Busch scores.3–0
2Nico Hoerner singles on a line drive to right fielder Anthony Santander. Dansby Swanson scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd.2–0
2Christopher Morel homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














