Cubs at Orioles
Last play · Jordan Westburg grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Orioles0%
CHC 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 7 – 2 BAL
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -190
Orioles favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ian Happ homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. Nico Hoerner scores. Michael Busch scores. (inning 4) — -18% Cubs
9Cubs challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Nico Hoerner grounds into a force out, third baseman Ramón Urías to second baseman Jordan Westburg. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. Tomás Nido out at 2nd. Nico Hoerner to 1st.9–2
8Seiya Suzuki doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Heston Kjerstad. Nico Hoerner scores. Michael Busch to 3rd.8–2
4Ian Happ homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. Nico Hoerner scores. Michael Busch scores.7–2
3Anthony Santander grounds into a double play, third baseman Miles Mastrobuoni to shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch. Gunnar Henderson scores. Adley Rutschman out at 2nd. Anthony Santander out at 1st.4–2
3Dansby Swanson grounds into a force out, fielded by third baseman Ramón Urías. Seiya Suzuki scores. Ian Happ out at 3rd. Christopher Morel to 2nd. Dansby Swanson to 1st.4–1
3Seiya Suzuki singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Cody Bellinger scores.3–1
2Jordan Westburg homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
2Tomás Nido out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Anthony Santander. Ian Happ scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














