Yankees at Orioles
Last play · Colton Cowser grounds into a double play, first baseman Ben Rice to shortstop Anthony Volpe. Ryan Mountcastle out at 2nd. Colton Cowser out at 1st.
Win probability
Orioles0%
NYY 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 6 – 1 BAL
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 7%
Run line
+4.5
Moneyline
reference-20000 / +3000
Orioles favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Wells homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Aaron Judge scores. Gleyber Torres scores. (inning 1) — -26% Yankees
5Aaron Judge homers (34) on a fly ball to center field.6–1
5Juan Soto homers (23) on a line drive to center field.5–1
4Ryan Mountcastle grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Ben Rice. Ryan O'Hearn scores.4–1
1Austin Wells homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Aaron Judge scores. Gleyber Torres scores.4–0
1Gleyber Torres singles on a ground ball to shortstop Gunnar Henderson. Juan Soto scores. Aaron Judge to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














