Yankees at Orioles
Last play · Cedric Mullins pops out to catcher Austin Wells in foul territory.
Win probability
Orioles0%
NYY 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 3 – 1 BAL
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Orioles favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (33) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 3) — -16% Yankees
9Juan Soto singles on a ground ball to right fielder Anthony Santander. Jose Trevino scores.4–1
3Aaron Judge homers (33) on a fly ball to left center field.3–1
2Ramón Urías triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Heston Kjerstad scores.2–1
2Jahmai Jones singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Jose Trevino scores.2–0
2Jose Trevino doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Heston Kjerstad. Anthony Volpe scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














