Cubs at Orioles
Last play · Austin Hays grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Orioles0%
CHC 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 4 – 0 BAL
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Orioles favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Busch doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Anthony Santander. Tomás Nido scores. Nico Hoerner scores. (inning 5) — -20% Cubs
7Dansby Swanson singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Ian Happ scores.8–0
7Ian Happ doubles (21) on a ground ball to right fielder Anthony Santander. Seiya Suzuki scores.7–0
7Seiya Suzuki triples (3) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Austin Hays, deflected by center fielder Cedric Mullins. Michael Busch scores.6–0
6Dansby Swanson homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.5–0
5Seiya Suzuki doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Austin Hays. Michael Busch scores.4–0
5Michael Busch doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Anthony Santander. Tomás Nido scores. Nico Hoerner scores.3–0
3Seiya Suzuki doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Hays. Michael Busch scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














