Yankees at Orioles
Last play · Cedric Mullins doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Adley Rutschman scores. Ryan Mountcastle to 3rd.
Win probability
Orioles100%
NYY 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 3 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Orioles favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ben Rice homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Trent Grisham scores. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. (inning 9) — -78% Yankees
9Cedric Mullins doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Adley Rutschman scores. Ryan Mountcastle to 3rd.5–6
9Ryan Mountcastle reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Anthony Volpe. Colton Cowser scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 3rd. Adley Rutschman to 2nd. Fielding error by shortstop Anthony Volpe.5–4
9Ben Rice homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Trent Grisham scores. Oswaldo Cabrera scores.5–3
5Anthony Santander homers (24) on a fly ball to right field.2–3
5Trent Grisham homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
3Gunnar Henderson homers (28) on a fly ball to right center field. James McCann scores.1–2
2Trent Grisham singles on a ground ball to right fielder Anthony Santander. Anthony Volpe scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














