Blue Jays at Orioles
Last play · Addison Barger grounds out, third baseman Ramón Urías to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle.
Win probability
Orioles100%
TOR 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 3 – 10 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Orioles favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jordan Westburg grounds out to first baseman Justin Turner. Anthony Santander scores. Gunnar Henderson to 3rd. Ryan Mountcastle to 2nd. (inning 1) — +9% Orioles
9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Spencer Horwitz scores.5–11
8Ryan Mountcastle homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.4–11
7Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (20) on a fly ball to right field.4–10
5Anthony Santander homers (30) on a fly ball to right center field. James McCann scores.3–10
5Colton Cowser out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Addison Barger. Cedric Mullins scores.3–8
5Addison Barger homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Spencer Horwitz scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.3–7
4Jordan Westburg doubles (24) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Addison Barger. Gunnar Henderson scores. Ryan Mountcastle out at home on the throw, left fielder Addison Barger to third baseman Ernie Clement to catcher Alejandro Kirk.0–7
4Ryan O'Hearn out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Colton Cowser scores.0–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














