Blue Jays at Orioles
Last play · Steward Berroa called out on strikes.
Win probability
Orioles100%
TOR 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 6 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -210
Orioles favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ramón Urías homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 3) — +18% Orioles
7Daulton Varsho doubles (16) on a fly ball to right fielder Anthony Santander. Steward Berroa scores. George Springer to 3rd.2–6
5Anthony Santander homers (31) on a fly ball to right center field.1–6
4Ramón Urías singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Cedric Mullins scores.1–5
4Alejandro Kirk out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.1–4
3Ryan O'Hearn singles on a fly ball to left fielder Steward Berroa. Adley Rutschman scores. Gunnar Henderson scores.0–4
3Ramón Urías homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.0–2
1Anthony Santander doubles (17) on a ground ball to left fielder Steward Berroa. Gunnar Henderson scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
