Nationals at Orioles
Last play · Gunnar Henderson grounds out, second baseman Luis García Jr. to first baseman Andrés Chaparro.
Win probability
Orioles0%
WSH 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 4 – 2 BAL
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -200
Orioles favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Santander homers (36) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 3) — +15% Orioles
9Colton Cowser grounds into a force out, first baseman Andrés Chaparro to shortstop CJ Abrams. Cedric Mullins scores. Jackson Holliday out at 2nd. Colton Cowser advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by shortstop CJ Abrams.9–3
9Keibert Ruiz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Colton Cowser. CJ Abrams scores.9–2
8Andrés Chaparro doubles (3) on a ground ball to left fielder Colton Cowser. James Wood scores.8–2
6Jacob Young singles on a ground ball to right fielder Anthony Santander. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Jacob Young out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Anthony Santander to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle to shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle to second baseman Jackson Holliday.7–2
6Ildemaro Vargas singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. James Wood scores. Andrés Chaparro scores.6–2
4Luis García Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Andrés Chaparro scores.4–2
4Ildemaro Vargas out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Anthony Santander. James Wood scores. Andrés Chaparro to 3rd.3–2
3Anthony Santander homers (36) on a fly ball to center field.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
