Blue Jays at Orioles
Last play · Orioles challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Leo Jiménez grounds into a double play, second baseman Jackson Holliday to shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle. Joey Loperfido out at 2nd. Leo Jiménez out at 1st.
Win probability
Orioles100%
TOR 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 3 – 9 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+205 / -250
Orioles favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Holliday hits a grand slam (1) to right field. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Cedric Mullins scores. Jordan Westburg scores. (inning 5) — +22% Orioles
7Gunnar Henderson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Colton Cowser scores.4–10
6Brian Serven reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Gunnar Henderson. Daulton Varsho scores. Addison Barger to 3rd.4–9
5Anthony Santander singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. James McCann scores.3–9
5Jackson Holliday hits a grand slam (1) to right field. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Cedric Mullins scores. Jordan Westburg scores.3–8
5Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds out softly, third baseman Jordan Westburg to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle. George Springer scores.3–4
4Addison Barger hits a ground-rule double (4) on a line drive down the left-field line. Ernie Clement scores. Davis Schneider to 3rd.2–4
3Ryan O'Hearn out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Gunnar Henderson scores.1–4
3Addison Barger homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
