Red Sox at Orioles
Last play · Danny Jansen grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle.
Win probability
Orioles100%
BOS 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 3 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Orioles favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gunnar Henderson homers (31) on a line drive to right field. Anthony Santander scores. (inning 4) — +30% Orioles
7Colton Cowser doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. James McCann scores.1–5
6Ryan Mountcastle singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Anthony Santander scores.1–4
5Cedric Mullins homers (13) on a line drive to right field.1–3
4Gunnar Henderson homers (31) on a line drive to right field. Anthony Santander scores.1–2
4Wilyer Abreu homers (14) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
