Last play · Ryan Mountcastle grounds out, second baseman Nick Sogard to first baseman Triston Casas.
Win probability
Orioles0%
BOS 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
BOS 8 – 6 BAL
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference
+150 / -180
Orioles favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Masataka Yoshida homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. Rafael Devers scores. Connor Wong scores. (inning 4) — -29% Red Sox
8Ramón Urías out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Ryan O'Hearn scores.12–10
8Masataka Yoshida singles on a ground ball to right fielder Anthony Santander. Connor Wong scores.12–9
7Gunnar Henderson grounds into a force out, second baseman Nick Sogard to shortstop David Hamilton. Colton Cowser scores. Anthony Santander out at 2nd. Gunnar Henderson to 1st.11–9
7Ramón Urías homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. Cedric Mullins scores.11–8
7Jarren Duran homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field.11–6
7David Hamilton homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Nick Sogard scores.10–6
5James McCann out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Jackson Holliday scores. Cedric Mullins to 3rd.8–6
5Ramón Urías singles on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Eloy Jiménez scores. Jackson Holliday to 3rd. Cedric Mullins to 2nd.8–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.