Astros at Orioles
Last play · Jackson Holliday flies out to center fielder Jake Meyers.
Win probability
Orioles0%
HOU 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 2 – 0 BAL
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Orioles favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yordan Alvarez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Jose Altuve scores. (inning 4) — -14% Astros
6Shay Whitcomb singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Ben Gamel scores. Jake Meyers scores.6–0
6Jake Meyers singles on a bunt ground ball to pitcher Corbin Burnes. Victor Caratini scores. Ben Gamel to 3rd. Jake Meyers to 2nd. Throwing error by pitcher Corbin Burnes.4–0
6Ben Gamel singles on a line drive to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Yordan Alvarez scores. Victor Caratini to 3rd.3–0
4Ben Gamel singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Yainer Diaz scores. Victor Caratini to 3rd.2–0
4Yordan Alvarez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Jose Altuve scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
